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Warbixinta Cilmi-baarista ee Heerka Horumarineed iyo Rajada Maalgelinta ee Warshadaha Bacaha Haweenka ee Shiinaha (2022-2029)

Warbixinta Cilmi-baarista ee Heerka Horumarineed iyo Rajada Maalgelinta ee Warshadaha Bacaha Haweenka ee Shiinaha (2022-2029)

Bacaha haweenku waxay ka soo jeedaan kala soocidda jinsiga ee bacaha, waxayna ku kooban yihiin bacaha u hoggaansan heerarka bilicda dumarka.Shandad dumarku waa mid ka mid ah agabka dumarka.Marka loo eego kala-soocidda gudaha, waxaa loo qaybin karaa boorsada gaaban, jeebka dheer, boorsada qurxinta, bacda fiidkii, boorsada gacanta, bacda garabka, bacda garabka, bacda farriinta, boorsada safarka, bacda laabta iyo boorsada hawl-badan ee shaqada sida waafaqsan shaqada;Sida laga soo xigtay maaddada, waxaa loo qaybin karaa bacaha maqaarka dhabta ah, bacaha maqaarka ee PU, PVC, bacaha canvas, bacaha maqaarka lacquered, bacaha gacmaha iyo bacaha suufka ah;Marka loo eego qaabka, waxaa loo qaybin karaa shandado gacmeed, shandad gacmeed, bacaha garabka, bacaha garabka, bacaha farriinta, boorsooyinka dhabarka, bacaha dhexda, boorsada beddelka, bacaha curcurka, bacaha xidhashada fiidkii, iwm;Qayb ahaan, waxaa loo qaybin karaa bacaha xilliga firaaqada ee moodada, bacaha boorsooyinka, bacaha isboortiga, bacaha ganacsiga, bacaha cashada, boorsooyinka muhiimka ah, bacaha hooyada, bacaha qurxinta, boorsooyinka, iwm;Marka loo eego kala soocida jilicsanaanta iyo qallafsanaanta, waxaa loo qaybin karaa bacaha wakhtiga firaaqada, bacaha firaaqada, bacaha qaabaysan iyo bacaha qaabaysan.

Bacaha dumarka waxaa inta badan laga sameeyaa mink, timo bakayle, shiraac, lo'da, haragga idaha, maqaar PU, PVC, maqaar ku dayasho, maqaar synthetic, maro suuf ah, linen, denim, dhogorta, Oxford maro, corduroy, dhar aan tolmo lahayn, shiraac, polyester , balaastiig, maro naylon ah, dhar aan tolmo lahayn, maro jilicsan, caws tolan, dhar dhogor ah, xariir, marada biyuhu, cawska, linenka, marada dabaysha, maqaarka yaxaaska, haragga, maqaarka mas, doofaarka, warqad, iwm.

1. Warshadaha shandadaha

Bacaha dumarku waxay ka tirsan yihiin warshadaha bagaashka.Warshadaha shandadaha Shiinaha ayaa had iyo jeer qabsaday meel muhiim ah adduunka.Wax-soo-saarkeedu waxa uu ka ahaa in ka badan 70% saamiga adduunka, waxana ay qabsatay maqaam sare oo adduunka ah.Xogta la xidhiidha ayaa muujinaysa in Shiinuhu leeyahay in ka badan 20000 oo warshadood oo bagaash, kuwaas oo soo saara ku dhawaad ​​saddex meelood meel shandadyada adduunka, miisaankeeduna suuqu waa mid aad u weyn.Laga bilaabo 2018 ilaa 2020, tirada suuqa shandadaha waxay ahaan doontaa ku dhawaad ​​9000-11500, iyo 2020, tirada suuqa shandadaha waxay noqon doontaa 10081. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, wakhtigan, Shiinaha weli waa waddan weyn oo soo saarista bacaha, iyada oo alaabooyinka la ururiyey. suuqa-dhamaadka hoose, saamaynta summada daciifka ah iyo qiimaha cutubka oo hooseeya.Marka la eego cusboonaysiinta isticmaalka, macaamiishu waxay fiiro gaar ah u yeeshaan tayada badeecada iyo wacyigelinta sumadda ee shandadaha.Sidaa darteed, waa habka kaliya ee shirkadaha Shiinaha ee shandadaha si ay u sii horumariyaan iyagoo isku daraya faa'iidooyinka wax soo saarkooda si ay u abuuraan calaamadahooda shandadaha.

 

2. Suuqa Bacaha Dumarka

 

Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, suuqa bacaha dumarka ee Shiinaha ayaa si isdaba joog ah u kobcayay.Xogtu waxay muujineysaa in cabbirka suuqa ee shandad-gacmeedyada haweenka ee suuqa macaamiisha Shiinaha ee 2019 uu kor u dhaafay 600 bilyan yuan, heerka kobaca sanadlaha ahna uu ka badan yahay 10%.Oo ay horseedayso heerka isticmaalka iyo baahida sii kordheysa, miisaanka suuqa bacaha dumarka ayaa wali sii fidaya.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, marka rajada suuqu ay ku filan tahay, calaamad kastaa waxay sidoo kale u tartamaysaa sidii ay u heli lahayd dhul, hagaajinta tartankeeda asaasiga ah ee tayada, qiimaha, qaabka naqshadeynta iyo dhinacyo kale, iyagoo rajeynaya inay helaan fursado koritaanka degdega ah ee suuqa bacaha haweenka gudaha.Si kastaba ha noqotee, sida loo istaago suuqa, u istaago tartanka ka dhex jira noocyo badan, oo ku guulaysto raallinimada macaamiisha ayaa noqotay jihada ay dhammaan noocyada bacaha dumarka ee Shiinaha isku dayayaan inay helaan.

 

Waqtigan xaadirka ah, cabirka baahida suuqa bacaha haweenku wuu sii fidayaa iyadoo ay ugu wacan tahay arrimahan soo socda:

 

Marka hore, saldhigga macaamiisha Shiinaha ee dumarka waa mid weyn.Xogta ayaa muujineysa in sanadka 2021, tirada haweenka Shiinaha ay kor u dhaafi doonto 688 milyan, iyagoo gaaraya 689.49 milyan, koror ah 940000 sanadkii hore, taasoo ka dhigan 48.81% tirada guud ee dadweynaha.

Marka labaad, awoodda isticmaalka haweenku waa ay sii xoogaysanaysaa oo sii xoogaysanaysaa.Iyadoo Shiinuhu uu muhiimad gaar ah siinayaa horumarinta waxbarashada, ayaa waxaa kor u kacay tirada haweenka haysta shahaadada koowaad ee jaamacadda ama wixii ka sareeya, iyadoo tirada haweenka da'da yar ee aqoonta sare leh ay ka badan yihiin ragga ay isku da'da yihiin.Shahaadooyinka tacliinta sare waxay furfuraan aragtida haweenka, rabitaankooda ah inay horumariyaan naftooda ayaa sii xoogaysanaya, baahiyahooda ruuxeedna waa ka sii xoog badan yihiin;Iyo sidoo kale horumarinta heerka dhaqaalaha qaranka, awoodda isticmaalka haweenka ayaa sii xoogaysanaysa oo sii xoogaysanaysa.Xogta ayaa sheegeysa in 97% dumarka Shiinaha ee ku nool magaalooyinka ay leeyihiin dhaqaale halka 68% ay leeyihiin guryo.Marka la gaaro 2022, celceliska mushaharka haweenka ee goobta shaqada ee Shiinaha wuxuu gaari doonaa 8545 yuan.Marka la barbar dhigo isla muddadaas 2021, mushaharka haweenku wuxuu kordhin doonaa 5%, wax yar ka sarreeya kan mushaharka ragga 4.8%.

Saddex, haweenku waxay had iyo jeer ahaayeen xoogga ugu weyn ee suuqa badeecadaha.Sida laga soo xigtay xogta, waxaa jira 400 milyan oo macaamiisha aasaasiga ah ee da'doodu u dhaxayso 20-60 gudaha Shiinaha.Wadarta kharashka isticmaalka la tuuri karo ee sanadlaha ah ayaa gaaraya ilaa 10 trillion yuan, in ka badan 70% awooda wax iibsiga bulshada waxa ay ku jirtaa gacanta haweenka.Marka loo eego cilmi-baarista suuqa ee khuseeya, iyadoo hal-ku-dhegga ah “daaw dhammaan cudurrada”, bacaha dumarku waxay had iyo jeer ahaayeen kuwa hormuudka ka ah badeecadaha laga isticmaalo suuqa dumarka, iyo saamiga ay ku leeyihiin cunista moodada dumarka had iyo jeer waxay ku jireen safka hore.

 

Afar, "awoodeeda" ayaa caan ka ah suuqa macaamiisha.Sanadihii la soo dhaafay, iyadoo kor u kaca heerka dakhliga iyo heerka waxbarashada, haweenku waxay leeyihiin cod sare oo ku saabsan isticmaalka.Marka loo eego iibka JD, tirada isticmaaleyaasha dumarka ah ayaa kor u kacday sannadihii u dambeeyay, awoodda wax iibsiga ee isticmaaleyaasha dumarka ah ayaa sidoo kale muujisay heer cusub.Kobaca joogtada ah ee isticmaalka ayaa muujinaya in "ay" ay ku ciyaaraan "awood dumar ah" kor u qaadida isticmaalka, iyo macaamiisha dumarku waxay noqdeen laf dhabarta isticmaalka.Gaar ahaan, 30+ dumar ah ayaa noqon doona kuwo aad u degdeg badan oo raadsan doona tayada nolosha.Marka loo eego tirakoobka dadweynaha ee 2019, tirada haweenka da'doodu u dhaxayso 30-55 waxay gaartay 278 milyan.Waxay ku jiraan marxalad nololeed oo leh awood dhaqaale oo xooggan waxayna door muhiim ah ka ciyaaraan qaybaha kala duwan ee suuqa.

 

Marka shanaad, "dhaqaaleheeda" ayaa si joogto ah kor ugu kacaya, iyo suuqa haweenka ee macaamiisha ayaa sii kordhaya.Horumarka joogtada ah ee bulshada iyo ka-qaybgalka joogtada ah ee haweenka ee dhinacyada dhaqanka, dhaqaalaha, siyaasadda iyo qaybaha kale, heerka bulsho ee haweenka ayaa sidoo kale soo hagaagaya.Dumar aad iyo aad u tiro badan ayaan hadda “u adeegin” qoysaskooda oo kaliya, balse aad bay u jecel yihiin inay maalgashadaan “maalgashiga naftooda”.Sida laga soo xigtay cilmi-baaris ku habboon, qiyaastii 60% haweenka la qabo ayaa naftooda u hormariya, nimanka iyo carruurtu waa inay "dib u noqdaan"."Kacitaanka miyir-qabka" noocan oo kale ah ayaa sidoo kale u muuqda in uu keenay "muhiim" suuqa macaamiisha haweenka ee Shiinaha, iyo "dhaqaalaheeda" ayaa si joogto ah u koraya.Sida laga soo xigtay xogta, 97% haweenka Shiinaha ayaa noqon doona xoogga ugu weyn ee "iibsada iyo iibsashada" qoysaskooda sanadka 2020, iyo suuqa macaamiisha ee haweenka ee Shiinaha ayaa kor u dhaafi doona 10 trillion yuan.

 

Marka la eego kor u kaca kor u kaca "dhaqaaleheeda", suuqa haweenka ee macaamiisha ayaa sii kordhaya.Sida lagu sheegay warbixinta majaladda People’s Daily, Shiinuhu waxa uu leeyahay suuqa macaamiisha ee dumarka 4.8 trillion yuan sanadka 2020. Si kale haddii loo dhigo, haweenka Shiinaha waxay isticmaaleen 4.8 trillion yuan sannadkii.Maadaama oo ah hogaamiyaha alaabta macaamiisha ah ee suuqa haweenka, suuqa bacaha haweenka ayaa sidoo kale leh baahi weyn oo suuq ah.

 

Toddoba waa baahsanaanta ganacsiga e-commerce.Wax iibsiga onlaynka ah ayaa haweenka siisay kanaalka isticmaalka wanaagsan waxayna sidoo kale u keentay fursado horumarineed oo loogu talagalay shandad gacmeedyada haweenka.Waqtigan xaadirka ah, tirada dumarka isticmaala Internetka ee Shiinaha waxay gaareen in ka badan 500 milyan, sidoo kale wargeyska People's Daily ayaa sheegay in saamiga haweenka isticmaala internetka tooska ah uu yahay 70-80%, taas oo muujinaysa in haweenka ay leeyihiin " Awood wax iibsiga oo dhammaystiran”.

 

Xogta ayaa muujineysa in Janaayo 2022, cabirka firfircoon ee haweenka isticmaala Internetka mobilada uu gaaray 582 milyan, ilaa 2.3% sanadkiiba, iyo saamiga shabakada oo dhan ayaa kor u kacday ilaa 49.3%.Celceliska wakhtiga isticmaalka bilaha ee isticmaalayaasha dumarka ayaa dhaaftay 170 saacadood;Isticmaalka khadka ayaa ka badan 1000 yuan, oo xisaabiya 69.4%.

Gaar ahaan, ganacsiga e-commerce ee tooska ah.Ilaa 2018, warshadaha e-ganacsiga tooska ah ee Shiinaha ee baahinta tooska ah waxay noqdeen meel dabayshu ka baxdo.2019, qulqulka xooggan iyo qulqulka KOL sida Li Jiaqi ayaa sii horumarin doona horumarka degdega ah ee baahinta tooska ah ee ganacsiga elektaroonigga ah.2020, xaalada cudurku waxay dhashay kobac dheeri ah oo ku saabsan "dhaqaalaha guryaha" waxayna kicisay firfircoonida warshadaha e-ganacsiga tooska ah ee baahinta.Miisaanka suuqa ayaa kordhay 121% marka loo eego sanadkii hore, isagoo gaadhay 961 bilyan yuan.Waxaa lagu qiyaasaa in baaxadda suuqa e-ganacsiga tooska ah ee Shiinaha uu gaari doono 1201.2 bilyan yuan sanadka 2021, wuxuuna sii kordhin doonaa ilaa 1507.3 bilyan yuan sanadka 2022.

Sannadka 2020, is-beddelka ganacsiga elektaroonigga ah ee tooska ah ee Shiinaha ayaa kor u kici doona min 26.8 bilyan yuan sanadka 2017 ilaa 1288.1 bilyan yuan, korodhka 4700%, horumar degdeg ah.Qeybta hore ee sanadka 2021, isweydaarsiga ganacsiga tooska ah ee e-commerce ee Shiinaha wuxuu gaari doonaa 1094.1 bilyan yuan.

Isla mar ahaantaana, dhaqaalaha haweenka ayaa si xooggan loogu ololeeyay, iyo awoodda isticmaalka dumarka ee suuqa macaamiisha ayaa sidoo kale la xaqiijiyay.Waxaa kaxeeyey awoodda isticmaalka dumarka ee xooggan, ganacsiga tooska ah ee e-commerce, oo ah mid ka mid ah warshadaha tafaariiqda cusub, ayaa sidoo kale ka faa'iidey.Marka loo eego xogta, laga bilaabo Agoosto 2021, in ka badan 60% isticmaalayaasha baahinta tooska ah ee ganacsiga e-commerce waa haween.Xaaladdan oo kale, ganacsatada bacaha haweenka ayaa sidoo kale si joogto ah u soo galaya jidka.

Haweenka boorsada gacanta fudud.jpg


Waqtiga post: Dec-08-2022